Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 350.999714 400.540809 456.495716 524.759313 606.307901 701.249488 821.094256
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 285.033001 350.257701 431.253090 540.796602 687.546008 880.991593 1161.581752
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 244.914222 315.465862 408.617085 543.604662 739.422179 1021.825719 1477.051955
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 212.826573 283.916029 382.217721 532.468793 764.633696 1125.006018 1760.447801
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 192.080737 264.061510 367.661256 533.645672 805.177410 1256.415774 2123.655955
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 172.238709 242.565035 347.115949 521.242748 820.060701 1346.623213 2438.937457
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 158.146286 227.717982 334.300108 518.400596 849.147620 1466.367933 2849.121736
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 141.447983 207.041021 309.796129 492.223345 831.639876 1493.952190 3071.826537
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 136.678688 204.461430 313.859843 515.423015 908.910551 1726.270711 3853.974832
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 133.751125 204.426360 321.924511 546.667128 1007.607851 2030.146211 4961.687166
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 126.247266 196.044621 314.669291 548.053342 1045.148169 2206.065237 5804.373758
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 117.232023 184.311883 300.303650 533.653398 1045.947004 2293.544871 6421.519585
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 108.841244 173.210863 286.426798 519.297639 1046.333049 2385.921990 7131.984077
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 105.345143 170.419468 287.549650 535.906429 1122.260171 2705.675511 8905.227152
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 100.438299 164.665965 282.479075 538.645012 1165.276518 2947.575117 10573.044413
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 94.403026 156.383076 271.760725 527.637701 1171.468355 3081.167883 11878.882025
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 90.268481 151.291083 266.796968 528.801131 1209.861644 3331.960883 14023.170102
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 85.086815 143.866276 256.537509 516.538687 1209.536352 3453.600568 15604.508256
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 81.281551 138.795254 250.616036 513.728608 1235.426539 3679.431338 18106.098428
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 75.568416 129.706768 235.750810 487.844663 1189.937244 3625.510194 18703.448054
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 74.774006 130.108180 240.658391 510.784581 1294.754707 4200.565035 24797.851888
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 74.613013 131.730229 248.283604 541.674226 1432.645103 4991.256400 34631.728905
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 72.017536 128.294539 244.650305 543.044593 1475.640201 5385.486751 41737.575585